Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.003251 0.003409 0.003571 0.003748 0.003938 0.004135 0.004356
2025-05-11 0.002957 0.003191 0.003440 0.003725 0.004042 0.004387 0.004792
2025-05-18 0.002766 0.003042 0.003343 0.003698 0.004105 0.004562 0.005116
2025-05-25 0.002672 0.002985 0.003335 0.003756 0.004253 0.004826 0.005542
2025-06-01 0.002556 0.002893 0.003275 0.003744 0.004310 0.004978 0.005834
2025-06-08 0.002447 0.002800 0.003206 0.003714 0.004338 0.005089 0.006076
2025-06-15 0.002335 0.002697 0.003119 0.003655 0.004323 0.005143 0.006242
2025-06-22 0.002240 0.002609 0.003045 0.003605 0.004316 0.005201 0.006412
2025-06-29 0.002180 0.002561 0.003015 0.003607 0.004370 0.005337 0.006686
2025-07-06 0.002073 0.002450 0.002905 0.003502 0.004281 0.005281 0.006698
2025-07-13 0.002025 0.002410 0.002880 0.003505 0.004330 0.005407 0.006961
2025-07-20 0.002001 0.002400 0.002892 0.003553 0.004440 0.005616 0.007347
2025-07-27 0.001940 0.002341 0.002840 0.003517 0.004436 0.005672 0.007523
2025-08-03 0.001889 0.002293 0.002800 0.003496 0.004450 0.005753 0.007736
2025-08-10 0.001839 0.002246 0.002759 0.003471 0.004458 0.005824 0.007937
2025-08-17 0.001825 0.002243 0.002776 0.003524 0.004576 0.006054 0.008388
2025-08-24 0.001786 0.002207 0.002748 0.003513 0.004602 0.006152 0.008639
2025-08-31 0.001742 0.002163 0.002708 0.003486 0.004602 0.006211 0.008832
2025-09-07 0.001691 0.002108 0.002651 0.003431 0.004562 0.006206 0.008921
2025-09-14 0.001645 0.002059 0.002602 0.003386 0.004532 0.006216 0.009034
2025-09-21 0.001619 0.002036 0.002586 0.003388 0.004571 0.006332 0.009325
2025-09-28 0.001559 0.001965 0.002503 0.003291 0.004460 0.006212 0.009216
2025-10-05 0.001536 0.001945 0.002489 0.003294 0.004498 0.006324 0.009504